Paul Goodwin: Home double-header could yet prove vital in hazardous run-in

Rovers fans are hoping their relegation fears will ease considerably over the coming week.
Rovers fans are hoping their relegation fears will ease considerably over the coming week.

A few simple maths reveal Rovers are anything but safe just yet, writes Paul Goodwin.

But by this time next week - following the home double-header with Birmingham and Bolton - they could be virtually guaranteed Championship football for another season.

And with some of the fixtures still waiting around the corner for Paul Dickov’s men, they would be well advised to make the most of these next two games.

As it stands, Rovers still need another 17 points from their last seven games to be mathematically safe.

Such a high tally obviously won’t be necessary, but that 60-point total currently required clearly demonstrates that Rovers still have work to do over the coming few weeks.

Importantly, with four wins from the last six, Doncaster have momentum at the right time, unlike tomorrow’s opponents Birmingham and also a Blackpool side whose season has come crashing down beneath them.

The chances of more than one of the remaining relegation candidates - Charlton, Barnsley, Millwall or Yeovil - now turning their relegation form into promotion form and winning at least half of their remaining games, the minimum of which would be required to overturn Doncaster’s current tally of 43, would also appear slim. The odds are now stacked in Rovers’ favour.

But while there’s at least hope for those clubs staring immediately down the League One barrel, there’s also that nagging chance that it could still go wrong for Rovers.

And a quick glance at Doncaster’s remaining fixtures outlines the importance of these next two home fixtures.

Ipswich, Derby, Millwall, Reading and Leicester lie in wait; all sides that have something to play for either at the top or bottom.

The last thing Rovers want is to be needing something from those last two games. A minimum of four points from the next two should prevent that scenario.